Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.534464 0.594831 0.660067 0.735940 0.821928 0.916549 1.028816
2025-03-30 0.430792 0.511771 0.606029 0.724419 0.869939 1.043975 1.269383
2025-04-06 0.374736 0.464641 0.574557 0.719938 0.908822 1.148174 1.478022
2025-04-13 0.323921 0.415129 0.530973 0.690546 0.907213 1.194857 1.611856
2025-04-20 0.298223 0.393607 0.518962 0.698089 0.951291 1.302185 1.835513
2025-04-27 0.277495 0.375885 0.509159 0.705955 0.994412 1.410109 2.070071
2025-05-04 0.259478 0.359758 0.499341 0.711682 1.033426 1.514134 2.308952
2025-05-11 0.242890 0.343918 0.488059 0.713378 1.065375 1.609187 2.543234
2025-05-18 0.230316 0.332648 0.482100 0.721850 1.107524 1.722962 2.820021
2025-05-25 0.212895 0.312723 0.461454 0.705414 1.107923 1.768574 2.985258
2025-06-01 0.203868 0.304750 0.458200 0.715822 1.152344 1.890515 3.298124
2025-06-08 0.192150 0.291701 0.445927 0.710262 1.168951 1.965715 3.533825
2025-06-15 0.183742 0.283482 0.441006 0.716950 1.208049 2.085943 3.873559
2025-06-22 0.172691 0.270284 0.427082 0.707175 1.217131 2.152739 4.118016
2025-06-29 0.163690 0.259797 0.416812 0.702713 1.235042 2.237172 4.408521
2025-07-06 0.151114 0.242566 0.394017 0.674127 1.205340 2.226808 4.497773
2025-07-13 0.145830 0.237293 0.391262 0.681465 1.244262 2.354923 4.903775
2025-07-20 0.140983 0.232438 0.388849 0.689118 1.284276 2.489122 5.342274
2025-07-27 0.136149 0.227288 0.385526 0.694689 1.320472 2.618941 5.789339
2025-08-03 0.131062 0.221372 0.380410 0.696339 1.348672 2.734452 6.218998
2025-08-10 0.127257 0.217514 0.378770 0.704580 1.391203 2.885665 6.760118
2025-08-17 0.120382 0.207699 0.365484 0.688591 1.380668 2.916505 6.997335
2025-08-24 0.117402 0.204868 0.365127 0.698716 1.427608 3.084240 7.622249